Forex – Weekly Outlook: April 2



© Reuters. Dollar ends holiday-shortened week with gains against currency basket

Investing.com – Investors will be watching to see whether the dollar can hold on to its recent gains in the coming week as the new quarter gets underway.

Questions over global trade protectionism and the outlook for the U.S. economy look likely to persist.

for indications on the future direction of U.S. monetary policy in the wake of the Fed’s first rate hike this year two weeks ago.

The dollar ended flat against a basket of the other major currencies on Thursday, ahead of a market holiday on Friday. The , which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was little changed at 89.75 in late trade. For the week, the index was up 0.88%.

The dollar gained ground during the week boosted by easing concerns over the threat of a trade war and hopes for a diplomatic breakthrough with North Korea over its nuclear program.

The dollar dipped against the yen on Friday, with slipping 0.15% to 106.28, but still ended the week with gains of 1.36% after rebounding from 16-month lows on Monday.

The euro edged higher on Friday, with rising 0.16% to 1.2319 to end the week 0.28% lower.

The pound was almost unchanged against the dollar late Friday, with at 1.4017 but ended the week down 0.93%.

As well as U.S. jobs data investors will be closely watching UK PMI data this week which is expected to show that activity in the manufacturing and service sector remained solid last month.

Investors will also be awaiting Wednesday’s euro zone inflation data, which is expected to show that a recent slide in consumer prices has come to an end. A pickup in inflation would bolster expectations for an end to European Central Bank stimulus later this year.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, April 2

Markets in Australia, New Zealand and Western Europe will be closed for the Easter Holiday.

China is to release data on the Caixin manufacturing index.

In the U.S., the Institute of Supply Management is to publish its manufacturing index.

Tuesday, April 3

New Zealand is to release data on business confidence.

The Reserve Bank of Australia is to announce its benchmark interest rate and publish a rate statement which outlines economic conditions and the factors affecting the monetary policy decision.

In the euro zone, Germany is to release data on retail sales.

The UK is to release data on manufacturing activity.

Wednesday, April 4

Australia is to release data on retail sales and building approvals.

China is to publish its Caixin service sector index.

The UK is to release data on construction activity.

The euro zone is to publish preliminary inflation data.

The U.S. is to release the ADP nonfarm payrolls report and later in the day, the ISM is to publish its non-manufacturing index.

Thursday, April 5

Financial markets in China will be closed for a holiday.

Australia is to produce data on the trade balance.

The UK is to release data on service sector activity.

Canada is to publish data on the trade balance.

The U.S. is to release the weekly report on jobless claims.

Friday, April 6

Financial markets in China will be closed for a holiday.

Canada is to publish its latest employment report.

The U.S. is to round up the week with the nonfarm payrolls report for March.



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