Loonie posts 6-week high as domestic economy impresses investors By Reuters


© Reuters. CANADA FX DEBT-Loonie posts 6-week high as domestic economy impresses investors

* Loonie posts a near six-week high at 1.3140 per U.S. dollar

* Price of U.S. oil increases 2.4%

* Chances of a BoC rate cut in October fall to less than 20%

* Canada’s 10-year yield touches a one-month high at 1.352%

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, Sept 9 (Reuters) – The Canadian dollar strengthened to its highest level in nearly six weeks against its U.S. counterpart on Monday as the price of oil, one of Canada’s major exports, rose and recent data bolstered investor confidence in the domestic economy.

At 3:57 p.m. (1957 GMT), the Canadian dollar CAD=D4 was trading 0.1% higher at 1.3160 to the greenback, or 75.99 U.S. cents. The currency, which last week snapped a seven-week losing streak, touched its strongest intraday level since July 31 at 1.3140.

Data on Friday showed that Canada’s economy added 81,100 jobs in August. It followed data the previous week showing that gross domestic product expanded at an annualized rate of 3.7% in the second quarter, even as other countries were being hurt by global trade uncertainty.

Recent data has indicated to investors that the Canadian economy “was weathering the geopolitical storm quite well,” said Brad Schruder, director of corporate sales and structuring at BMO Capital Markets.

The Bank of Canada reinforced last week the rosy view on the Canadian economy when it left interest rates on hold, Schruder added.

Chances of a rate cut at the Bank of Canada’s next interest rate decision on Oct. 30 have fallen to less than 20% from about 70% before last Wednesday’s interest rate decision. BOCWATCH

“I would suspect you see the Canadian dollar potentially appreciate another penny to a penny-and-a-half before it finds a short-term floor and starts to go the other way,” Schruder said.

Since the beginning of 2019, the has gained 3.7%, making it the top-performing G10 currency.

Oil prices climbed on Monday after the new Saudi energy minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, confirmed expectations he would stick with his country’s policy of limiting crude output to support prices. U.S. crude oil futures settled 2.4% higher at $57.85 a barrel. government bond prices were lower across the yield curve in sympathy with U.S. Treasuries as risk appetite improved amid easing U.S.-China trade tensions and expectations of less-aggressive action from the European Central Bank this week. two-year fell 11.5 Canadian cents to yield 1.551% and the 10-year was down 60 Canadian cents to yield 1.345%. The 10-year yield touched its highest intraday level since Aug. 6 at 1.352%.

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