Nvidia Stock Price May Spur Nasdaq After Earnings Beat


Nvidia Earnings Talking Points:

  • Nvidia’s lowered guidance allowed the chipmaker to handily beat earnings
  • Chinese sales were questioned amid the US-China trade war and economic slowdown concerns
  • The Nasdaq may take its cues from Nvidia in Friday’s session as a robust performance from a leading chipmaker and tech stock should generate optimism for the index

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Fourth quarter earnings for chipmaker Nvidia were reported after the close Thursday and a strong performance sent shares 8% higher. Revenue for the quarter was $2.21 billion versus the expected $2.20 billion. Earnings per share were similarly rosy, $0.80 versus $0.78 expected. The strong performance is somewhat discounted given the broader context.

Nvidia Price Chart (NVDA): February 14th (Chart 1)

nvidia stock price after earnings

Source: Marketwatch

On January 28th, Nvidia announced before market open it had lowered guidance for the fourth quarter. Slowing sales in China due to the US-China trade war and economic slowdown concerns were cited as headline reasons for the revision. Nvidia’s share price reacted accordingly, trading roughly $25 lower as the session opened. Thus, Thursday’s earning beat serves to simply recapture some of the lost share price from the earlier guidance change.

Nvidia Price Chart (NVDA): January 28th (Chart 2)

Nvidia on lowered guidance

That said, Nvidia may not be out of the woods yet. Revenue and earnings for the coming quarters have all been revised lower as the company faces a litany of headwinds. Trade wars, slowing global growth, sector cyclicality and the apparent end of the cryptocurrency boom all serve to pressure the chipmaker moving forward and they are reflected in Q1 forecasts. Forecasted revenue read $2.2 billion, notably lower than the $2.41 billion expected by analysts.

Nvidia Earnings and Revenue in Nearby Quarters (Chart 3)

Nvidia revenue and earnings

Source: Bloomberg

As for the immediate impact, the results may serve to buoy the share price and provide a tailwind for the chipmaker sector as well as the broader Nasdaq index in tomorrow’s session. While entirely possible, the earnings report will have to compete with other fundamental themes.

Nasdaq Price Chart: 1-Hour Timeframe (February 2019) (Chart 4)

Nasdaq price chart

At the top of the list, trade wars remain. US and Chinese officials will meet again tomorrow in Beijing as reports emerge that little progress has been made toward meeting the demands of either party. Elsewhere, the government shutdown seems to have been averted as President Trump announced he will sign a funding bill which was subsequently passed by the Senate. This development could also serve to provide optimism in tomorrow’s session.

–Written by Peter Hanks, Junior Analyst for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow Peter on Twitter @PeterHanksFX

Read more: Will the Stock Market Crash in 2019?

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