Opening Bell: Fed Comments Weigh On U.S. Futures, European Stocks; Oil Rallies


  • Fed official says its time to consider slowing asset purchases
  • Bitcoin advances
  • Gold slides

Key Events

Futures on the , , and as well as European stocks retreated on Thursday ahead of key US economic due for release on Friday, as Federal Reserve member, Patrick said yesterday that its “time to think about tapering”. His comments were followed by an interview with former Fed official William Dudley who said that the Fed will probably look at winding down its asset buying by the end of the year.

Oil demand continues to push the price higher.

Global Financial Affairs

In Europe, retailers and banks weighed on the Index, capping a two-day advance.

US futures extended the reflation trade formation. While the four main contracts were in the red, the Russell 2000—representing value stocks due to the domestic firms it includes—outperformed, while the NASDAQ 100—which includes the pandemic darlings, big tech—lagged.

Benchmarks in Asia were mixed, as stocks in and were in the red, after it was reported that President Joseph Biden’s plans to amend a US ban on investments in companies linked to the Chinese military. South Korea’s (+0.7%) led the remaining gauges in a rally, ending near record highs, lifted by chip heavyweights and strong foreign buying.

US Treasury yields on the note climbed above 1.61%, and the climbed for the second day.

Dollar Index Daily

Dollar Index Daily

The greenback traded above its downtrend line since the Mar. 31 high, for the first time. Is this the bottom we’ve been waiting for?

Dollar strength weighed on .

Gold Daily

Gold has fallen, finally developing a long, red candle. We have been watching the yellow metal struggle higher as we’ve been waiting for a correction within its uptrend, at least until the bottom of its rising channel, or even to retest the broken falling channel-top since the 2020 record high.

climbed for the fourth of five days.

Bitcoin Daily

Bitcoin is struggling against the downtrend line of a range since May 20. It peaked above the line and returned below it, demonstrating its significance. If it manages to cut through it, it will have completed a small H&S bottom. The MACD provided a bullish cross, and the RSI is climbing after reaching the most extreme oversold position since the infamous March 2020 bottom—when everything was in a rut.

added to a rally after OPEC+ predicted a tightening market.

Oil Daily

The commodity climbed for the ninth out of 10 days, during which it completed a bullish triangle. We expect the price to continue moving higher.

Up Ahead

  • Today the US reports ahead of the market open.
  • On Friday Canada releases figures.

Market Moves

Stocks

  • The STOXX 600 fell 0.1%
  • Futures on the S&P 500 were little changed
  • Futures on the NASDAQ 100 fell 0.1%
  • Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.1%
  • The Index was little changed
  • The fell 0.2%

Currencies

  • The Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%
  • The fell 0.2% to $1.2185
  • The fell 0.2% to 109.79 per dollar
  • The was little changed at 6.3897 per dollar
  • The fell 0.1% to $1.4156

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced one basis point to 1.60%
  • Germany’s yield advanced one basis point to -0.18%
  • Britain’s yield advanced one basis point to 0.81%

Commodities

  • rose 0.4% to $72 a barrel
  • fell 0.6% to $1,897 an ounce



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