Opening Bell: Heightened US-China Trade Fears Hit Stocks; USD Rebounds


  • Global equities take a hit from heightened US-China trade spat fears despite strong US GDP reading

  • Gold on track for fifth consecutive negative month

  • Dollar rebounds but struggles to climb back above uptrend line
  • Surprise decline in US inventories fails to lift WTI above $70

Key Events

European equities and futures on the , and all tumbled into negative territory this morning, after fresh accusations against China by US President Donald Trump dampened investor sentiment and overshadowed upbeat economic data and yesterday’s record-setting stock performance in the US.

Euro STOXX 600 Daily Chart

Euro STOXX 600 Daily Chart

The region-wide pared about half of yesterday’s advance at the open and then extended losses, dragged down by mining shares. Technically, today’s trade crossed below the uptrend line since mid-August, after yesterday’s hammer reiterated the resistance at this price level. This followed Tuesday’s shooting star, which in turn confirmed the bearishness of the high wave candle posted August 14. Note that a hanging man requires confirmation with a close lower than the hanging man’s body.

Earlier, during Asian trade, regional equity indices were mixed. Japan’s outperformed, sealing a three-month high on a 0.9 percent climb. In China, trade headwinds weighed on sentiment, with mainland shares on the posting an aggregate 1.14 percent slide, followed by Hong Kong’s , the second worst regional performer, which dropped 0.89 percent.

The underwhelming stock performance seen across Asian markets, which is unusual after the repeated and decisive equity record highs posted in the US, underscores the depth of trader fears.

Global Financial Affairs

Yesterday, US stocks hit new records after the second quarter US was revised up to 4.2 percent from 4 percent on imports and software spending, bolstering the most substantial period of growth since 2014. Higher-than-expected imports were the most impressive element, considering recent strength, which makes goods denominated in other currencies costlier.

The technology sector led the rally, helped by Morgan Stanley upgraded its price target for Amazon (NASDAQ:) to $2500 and for Alphabet (NASDAQ:) to $1,515. An additional catalyst was provided by the revised North American trade agreement.

The tech-heavy outperformed after Morgan Stanley (NYSE:)’s bullish calls on the two FAANG components, gaining 0.99 percent.

The climbed 0.57 percent, advancing for a forth straight day and closing above the 2,900 level for the first time ever. Even more noteworthy is its close at the top of the session, demonstrating consistency in investor sentiment.

The underperformed its US peers, ticking 0.23 percent higher after swinging between gains and losses. Since it closed off the session’s highs, its traders posted less conviction than on other indices, in line with the greater sensitivity, by the mega-cap companies listed on the Dow, to global trade uncertainty. Tensions over the lack of progress in US-China trade negotiations worsened after President Donald Trump accused China of undermining his efforts to convince North Korea to give up its nuclear ambitions.

The added 0.37 percent.

DXY Daily Chart

DXY Daily Chart

In currency markets, the bounced back but gave up a more significant rebound. It continues to trade beneath its uptrend line since mid-May, for the fourth consecutive session.

The slumped after for the second quarter heavily undershot expectations, while the tumbled as hit a 10-year low. The bounced off an all-time low but is currently edging lower.

slipped lower for a second day, below the $7,000 level, despite news reports that Yahoo Finance has integrated Bitcoin, and trading.

Gold Monthly Chart

Gold Monthly Chart

is on track for its fifth consecutive monthly drop, trading lower today. Technically, the precious metal extended its July cross below the uptrend line which has been in place since December 2015. Its next significant support is the preceding long-term trough of $1,122.73, posted on December 2016.

WTI Daily Chart

WTI Daily Chart

slid after giving up earlier gains, falling back below the $70 level, following a bigger-than-expected decline in . Should the price close at this level, it would post a shooting star, which would confirm the resistance revealed by two consecutive, preceding shooting starts posted August 6 and 7.

Up Ahead

  • Canadian is released on Thursday.

  • Canadian for July is released on Friday.

  • Canadian for July is released on Friday.

  • China’s official is due on Friday.

  • Also on Friday, the Bank of Korea . Weak jobs growth has cooled speculation of an interest rate hike.

Market Moves

Stocks

  • Canada’s closed up 0.09 percent Wednesday.

  • Futures on the S&P 500 Index dropped 0.1 percent, the first retreat in a week and the most substantial slide in more than two weeks.

  • The STOXX Europe 600 lost 0.3 percent, the most significant drop in more than two weeks.

  • The UK’s fell 0.5 percent to the lowest level in more than two weeks.

  • Germany’s gave up 0.3 percent, the biggest loss in more than two weeks.

  • The inched 0.2 percent lower, the first retreat in a week.

  • The fell 0.2 percent, the most significant drop in a week.

Currencies

  • The Canadian was down 0.19 percent against the U.S. greenback early Thursday, trading at 0.7733.

  • The Dollar Index climbed 0.15 percent, ending a four-day decline.

  • The increased 0.1 percent to $1.1714, reaching the strongest level in five weeks on its fifth straight advance.

  • The gained 0.1 percent to $1.3041, the strongest level in more than four weeks.

  • The gained less than 0.05 percent to 111.64 per dollar.

Bonds

  • Canada’s was down early Thursday at 2.315, a 0.26-percent decrease.

  • The yield on Treasurys slipped less than one basis point to 2.88 percent.

  • Germany’s yield climbed less than one basis point to 0.41 percent, reaching the highest level in more than three weeks on its fifth straight advance.

  • Britain’s yield gained less than one basis point to 1.489 percent, hitting the highest level in more than 14 weeks with its fifth straight advance.

  • The spread between Italy’s bonds over German notes dropped three basis points to 2.6937 percentage points to the smallest premium in more than a week.

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 0.4 percent to $69.80 a barrel, the highest level in more than seven weeks.

  • Gold fell 0.2 percent to $1,204.12 an ounce.



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