USD/CAD: Canadian Dollar Slips To 1.32 On Trade Tensions

The Canadian dollar is trading sideways in the Monday session. Currently, is trading at 1.3183, up 0.05% on the day. On Friday, the pair broke above the 1.32 line for the first time since June 2017. On the release front, there are no major events on the schedule. On Tuesday, the U.S. releases and .

The Canadian currency continues to look vulnerable after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed further tariffs on some $50 billion of Chinese products on Friday. China has promised to retaliate against U.S. imports, as trade ties between the world’s two largest economies continue to deteriorate. With the U.S. recently slapping tariffs on Canadian steel and the NAFTA talks in pause mode, it is no wonder that investor anxiety has risen. If the trade war between the U.S. and its partners continues to escalate, the big losers could be export-reliant economies, such as Canada. With some 80% of Canadian imports heading to the U.S., Canada can ill-afford a trade spat with its giant neighbor. With Trump showing no hesitation about slapping tariffs on Canadian steel and threatening further tariffs against Canada, the wobbly Canadian dollar could continue to head lower.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is still smarting from the disastrous G7 summit, which he hosted. Canada, along with other members of the G7, vociferously complained about the tariffs which Trump imposed on Canada and the European Union. The summit ended in disarray, with Trump labelling Trudeau “weak” and “dishonest.” The meeting exposed fault lines between Trump and the other leaders over trade. Meanwhile, negotiations to update the NAFTA agreement remain deadlocked, with Canada unhappy about a U.S. demand for a sunset clause after five years, which would require the parties to hammer out a new agreement. Mexico is holding general elections on July 1, and a left-wing candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador leads in the polls. If López Obrador becomes president, it could mean more complications for the NAFTA talks.

USD/CAD Fundamentals

Monday (June 18)

  • 10:00 US NAHB Housing Market Index. Estimate 70
  • 11:45 BoC Deputy Governor Lynn Patterson Speaks
  • 13:00 US FOMC Member Rafael Bostic Speaks

Tuesday (June 19)

  • 8:30 US Building Permits. Estimate 1.35M
  • 8:30 US Housing Starts. Estimate 1.31M

*All release times are DST

*Key events are in bold

USD/CAD for Monday, June 18, 2018

USD/CAD for June 17-19, 2018.

USD/CAD for June 17-19, 2018.

USD/CAD, June 18 at 8:30 DST

Open: 1.3176 High: 1.3207 Low: 1.3160 Close: 1.3183

USD/CAD Technical

S3 S2 S1 R1 R2 R3
1.2803 1.2950 1.3067 1.3208 1.3314 1.3461

In the Asian session, USD/CAD edged higher but then retracted. In European trade, the pair recorded slight losses but has recovered

  • 1.3067 is providing support
  • 1.3208 is a weak resistance line. It could break in the North American session
  • Current range: 1.3067 to 1.3208

Further levels in both directions:

  • Below: 1.3067, 1.2950 and 1.2803
  • Above: 1.3208, 1.3314 and 1.3461

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

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